While most of them say they plan to vote this year, we estimate that if they don follow through, Democratic wins would be limited to about 215 seats, just short of a majority of 218.Another path to victory for Republicans is winning back the small but important group of Trump voters who are not saying they voting Republican this year. Doing so would pull them even with Democrats in these districts, and possibly even slightly ahead, depending on which voters they bring back into the fold. Winning over Trump voters who are currently unsure about their vote choice would certainly help, but not as much as winning back Trump voters who are supporting Democrats now.
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